The International Monetary Fund predicted on Tuesday that Nigeria’s
gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate would fall to its lowest point
in 29 years.
IMF said the Nigerian economy would shrink by 1.8 percent in 2016,
and grow by only 1.1 percent in 2016, affirming arguments that Nigeria
is currently in a recession, and will be throughout 2016.
However, this is just a forecast. As Nigerians, we still have our
destinies in our hands, and possess the potential to upturn the odds in
our favour.
These seven Nigerians captured below can upturn the economic woes in just a few months:
As put together by The Cable…
1. BABATUNDE FASHOLA
According to Akinwumi Adesina, president of the African Development
Bank, lack of electricity shaves off about four percent of Africa’s GDP.
The figure for Nigeria is projected at 5% of GDP.
Fixing power in any Africa economy is a GDP magic. It may be
next-to-impossible to fix Nigeria’s power situation six months, but
considerable progress could drive growth drastically.
With IMF particularly highlighting low power generation as a cause of
economic contraction, high power generation can directly bring economic
expansion.
Fashola, as minister of power, at his best, can make this happen – if resources are made available.
2. GODWIN EMEFIELE
The second major issue raised by the IMF, which Nigerian economic
analysts can attest to is the foreign currency scarcity currently being
experienced in Nigeria.
The foreign exchange policy of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) is pivotal to the availability of forex in the Nigerian system.
If Godwin Emefiele and the CBN monetary policy committee find a way
of fixing forex scarcity in the short term, GDP growth may just be on
the cards in 2016.
3. NIGER DELTA AVENGERS
Low oil receipt is no doubt the single biggest reason for the
contraction of the Nigerian economy. If we have oil forex, forex
scarcity can be fixed and capital projects on power can also be
executed.
Nigeria cannot upturn oil prices, but we can increase our production
levels and generate more petrodollar if the Niger Delta avengers leave
vengeance to God!
4. BABATUNDE FOWLER
At the presentation of the Nigerian appropriation bill for 2016,
President Muhammadu Buhari said only N820billion of the N6.08trillion
budget will be funded by petrodollar.
He said the rest would be funded by other sources of revenue
generation, especially taxes and other non-oil revenues, handing so much
responsibility to Fowler, chairman of the Federal Inland Revenue
Service (FIRS).
If Nigeria must experience any economic growth in 2016, it must be
able to implement its Keynesian budget. To do that, Fowler’s FIRS must
be able to generate sufficient revenue.
5. KEMI ADEOSUN
Nigeria’s youngest minister has one of the heaviest duties in reforming
the economy. She has promised fiscal responsibility, and has succeeded
in weeding out thousands of ghost workers.
She said in Kaduna last week that she would “make every naira count without placing burden” on any Nigerian.
For Nigeria’s GDP to grow in 2016, Adeosun must give more action to
her words and do more within the third and fourth quarter of 2016.
6. HADIZA USMAN
Seaports are one of the largest sources of revenue in many countries of
the world. But despite Nigeria’s status as Africa’s largest economy, the
country does not have a single port in the top 100 ports in the world.
According to World Port rankings, South Africa has two of the 100 busiest, revenue generating ports in world.
With Usman’s as managing director of Nigerian Ports Authority (NPA),
we could either see our port revenue sky rocket or fall to new lows.
It may be difficult in six months, but it is not impossible for Usman’s NPA to add sizable expansion to the Nigerian economy.
7. MUHAMMADU BUHARI
The Nigerian system is designed in a way that puts the direction of the
nation on the shoulder of one man; his name: Muhammadu Buhari. Virtually
all of Nigeria’s economic decisions lie on the actions and inaction of
the president.
Buhari’s negotiations with the Niger Delta Avengers, willingness to
grant absolute autonomy to the central bank and take necessary economic
decisions – even if it be the devaluation of the naira – will make all
the difference in the days to come.
HONOURABLE MENTIONS
Yemi Osinbajo, vice president and head of the National Economic Council. He is versatile.
Ibe Kachikwu, chairman of NNPC and state minister for petroleum, who
fetched $80 billion in deals for infrastructural deficit in the Nigerian
oil sector.
Akinwunmi Ambode, governor of Lagos state, which is responsible for
over 20 percent of Nigeria’s GDP. Lagos can swing the GDP pendulum in
any direction.
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